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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has posted 21.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; on their home court, the other team have averaged the most three attempts per game [IN_THE_LEAGUE] this year (29.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 17.9% of his shots from downtown away from home this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease possessions for the Suns.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (10.5).

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