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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jimmy Butler has scored 21.3 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
  • Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jimmy Butler has converted 15.7% of his 3-point attempts when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
  • Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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