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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has posted 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's posted overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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