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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has tallied 6.2 assists per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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