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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has tallied 5.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 93rd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this season at home.

The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season at home.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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