Jevon Carter Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (18th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jevon Carter will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has compiled 0.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 15th percentile.
Jevon Carter has tallied 12.9 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 23rd percentile.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.

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