Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
This year, opposing squads have averaged 26.5 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Jevon Carter has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has successfully made a measly 32.2% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly lower than his 38.3 rate last season.
When it comes to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 111.4 points per game as the home team ranks 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 27.8 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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