Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has successfully made a whopping 52.7% of his 3-pointers this season, a sizeable increase from his 38.2 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Jevon Carter registers in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.3 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 6 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have attempted 21.6 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jevon Carter ranks in the 10th percentile for playing time, posting a measly 13.7 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Bulls have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have averaged 37.6% on three-pointers (9th-best in the league) against the Orlando Magic, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
Jevon Carter has successfully made a lowly 0.0% of his foul shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 85.3 rate last season.

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