Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has converted 39.3% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jevon Carter has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has tallied 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 fouls per game last year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.0).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, averaging just 18.8 foul shots per game.

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