Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has made 2.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
The matchup against the Bulls is a strong one; they have given up the 24th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 10 games (20.3).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has accumulated 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 fouls per game last year.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
The matchup against the Bulls may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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