Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has sunk 3.3 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year away from home.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.8).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jevon Carter will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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