Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has converted 63.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 25.8% more than he's converted from three overall this season away from home.
Jevon Carter has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (18.1).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has averaged 12.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 25th percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the league.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
The Suns have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jevon Carter will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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