Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has made 63.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 25.8% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year on the road.
Jevon Carter has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has been on the court for 12.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (39.3).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Warriors are at home, the other team have attempted a colossal 23.1 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).
Jevon Carter will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.