Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has converted 66.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 29.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Jevon Carter has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile).
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are the visiting team, their opposition have compiled the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (34.1%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.
The Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has made 0.3 threes per game over the last 15 games, -0.6 lower than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Jevon Carter has been on the court for 12.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 23rd percentile.
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Nets are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a monstrous 28.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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