Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has successfully made 63.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 25.8% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing away from home.
Jevon Carter has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The matchup against the Magic is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (36.1%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has been on the court for 12.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the NBA.
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).
Jevon Carter will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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