Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has made 66.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 29.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Jevon Carter has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile).
This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the 76ers are away from home, opposing squads have tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (11.4).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has successfully made 0.3 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, -0.6 less than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Jevon Carter has tallied 12.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA: 23rd percentile.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the 76ers are on the road, the other team have attempted a massive 26.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).