Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has converted 66.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 29.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Jevon Carter has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (18th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (17.5).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has converted 0.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, -0.6 lower than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Jevon Carter has tallied 12.9 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 23rd percentile.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.

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