Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Jevon Carter has successfully made 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a monstrous 18.5 foul shots per game while playing at home this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 fouls per game last season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; while at home, opposing squads have posted the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.6%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
Jevon Carter will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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