Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has converted 83.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 18.7 free throws per game when playing at home this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has shot and missed 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from three in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for threes; while playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (13.6).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
Jevon Carter will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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