Jevon Carter Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Jevon Carter

NBA · Player Props

Jevon Carter

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jevon Carter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jevon Carter has successfully made 52.3% of his shots from downtown on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jevon Carter has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
At home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 23.3 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jevon Carter has averaged 2.1 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.0 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one for shots from the field; on their home court, their opposition have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (49.2%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Jevon Carter will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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