Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2025

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 16, 2025

Updated Nov 17, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2nd-best in the NBA as the road team with 15.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers's subpar 32.7% rate of sunk threes ranks 5th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

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