Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has sunk 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Among all players in the league, Jerami Grant places in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on their home court this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has converted a mere 37.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 44.2 rate last year.
As it relates to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's poor 107.6 points per game settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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