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Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.4 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jerami Grant has failed to convert 8.9 field goal attempts per game this season, a significant increase from his 7.6 rate last season.

The Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks have the home court advantage (13th-least in the league).

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