Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has made 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 higher than he's made overall this year playing at home.
Jerami Grant has made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.3% more than he's converted overall this year while on his home court.
Jerami Grant has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year on their home court.
Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shots from the field.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Cavaliers.

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