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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has successfully made a whopping 55.8% of his field goals this year, quite a bit higher than his 44.7 rate last year.

In comparison to last year's 28.0% rate, Jeff Green's three-point ability has increased this year to 44.0%.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should raise possessions for the Rockets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jeff Green ranks in the 15th percentile for playing time, averaging a measly 9.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's poor 33.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Jeff Green has attempted a mere 0.7 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 1.9 mark last season.

The matchup against the Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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