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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has sunk 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home.

The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jeff Green has made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Jeff Green is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The number of points put up against Bam Adebayo has been very low (12.4 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

The showdown with Bam Adebayo when it comes to getting to the foul line places in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting only 2.2 foul shots per game this year when they are at home.

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