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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jeff Green comes in at the 82nd percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a remarkable 53.6% rate this year.

Jeff Green has failed to make 0.8 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 25th percentile for misses .

This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the 76ers are at home, opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (31.3%).

The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

The Houston Rockets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to scoring, the Rockets's unimpressive 112.7 points per game ranks 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

The 6th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 27.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (most in the NBA).

Jeff Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance across the board.

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