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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has converted 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Jeff Green has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (25th percentile).

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.

This matchup is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot for the 10th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.0%).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 24.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the NBA).

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