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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 1.9 mark, Jeff Green's personal fouls per game have dropped this season to 0.9.

The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-least 3-pointers per game in the league against them this year (10.4).

Jeff Green has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's made over the course of the year.

This matchup is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted just 20.8 foul shots per game when the Nuggets are at home this year (8th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has sunk a lowly 11.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a sizeable decrease from his 29.8 mark last year.

Jeff Green has played 14.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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