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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has converted 57.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Jeff Green has averaged a lowly 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 1.9 fouls per game last year.

As it relates to treys, the Rockets's remarkable 37.9% rate of drained threes places 10th-most in the league this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Jeff Green has converted 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jeff Green slots into the 16th percentile for playing time, putting up a mere 14.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted a massive 25.1 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

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