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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has made 64.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.2% more than he's made overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.8% higher than he's made overall this season.

The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.1%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

More Jeff Green Player Props

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