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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jeff Green has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jeff Green has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 27.4% higher than he's converted overall this season.
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (29th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for threes; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.2%).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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