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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 5/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Lakers are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 21st-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.1).
  • The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jeff Green has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jeff Green has successfully made 35.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, -12.4% lower than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the foul line without the home court advantage: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.
  • Jeff Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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