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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jeff Green has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns have the home court advantage (29th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has converted 25.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jeff Green has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 25 games (11.7).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

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