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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has sunk 1.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on the road.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (108.4).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has converted a lowly 71.0% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 82.9 mark last year.

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