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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has successfully made 51.2% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (109.2).

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has made 93.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 25.5% more than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a colossal 25.9 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

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