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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has successfully made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 30.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while on the road.

Jeff Green has averaged 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 27.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Jeff Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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