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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has converted 51.9% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (40.5%).

The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nuggets.

Jeff Green has converted 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 25.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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