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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jeff Green has converted 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jeff Green has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 35.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court.
  • Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
  • This matchup is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (36.8).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
  • This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Pelicans are away from home, their opposition have attempted an enormous 25.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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