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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for threes; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (11.9).

Jeff Green has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 22.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Wizards may be a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 18.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Wizards are on their home court (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has successfully made 25.7% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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