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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jeff Green has converted 39.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Pistons are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the league against them this year (86.2).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Pistons are at home, the other team have attempted a massive 25.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
  • Jeff Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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