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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has made 39.6% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 12.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has successfully made 95.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing squads have tallied the 8th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (14.0).

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 23.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Jeff Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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