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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has sunk 39.6% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 12.1% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

While at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (39.8).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 23.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (9th-most in the league).

Jeff Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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