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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jeff Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for threes; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.2%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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