Jayson Tatum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has totaled 7.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.
Jayson Tatum has played 35.4 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

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