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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/10/2025

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has compiled 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.7 more than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road.

Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has sunk 8.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's converted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against New York is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (18.6%).

The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

The Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 19.5 foul shot attempts per game.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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