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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2025

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.1 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 8.0 mark last year.

Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (18.9).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.4 free throws per game.

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