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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2025

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has compiled 26.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Jayson Tatum has sunk a terrific 3.5 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 mark last year.

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 36.4 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 8th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Celtics's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game places worst in the NBA this year.

Jayson Tatum ought to see a decline in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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