Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games while at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Relative to last season's 2.9 mark, Jayson Tatum's 3-pointers converted have risen this season to 3.5 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year.
The Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled 15.1 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 19.1 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the worst in the league this year.

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