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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 2.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's three-pointers hit have spiked this year to 3.5 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.4 minutes per game this year.

The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has sunk 90.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

The slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's feeble 19.5 foul shots per game rates worst in the league this year.

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